Uncategorized

The Science of Predictability and Why It Eases Anxiety

No Comments
Uncategorized

The Science of Predictability and Why It Eases Anxiety

No Comments

We’ve all been there.

It’s time to decide where to go for dinner, and if we don’t respond with the easy out of “I don’t care,” then suddenly something as minute as choosing a place to eat turns into an act of Congress and the drafting of a 300-page legislative bill.

The question becomes: Why do we tend to turn even the most insignificant decisions into stress-inducing events?

Let’s start with “human nature.”

The process of making decisions inundates our daily grind. From the moment we choose to get out of bed in the morning, we are bombarded with decisions.

While some of them might appear to be trivial (What type of coffee will I pick up on my way to work? Will I wear pants or jeans today?), they still reside within our precious mental bandwidth. Even though we might believe that these smaller, less important things don’t make much of a difference, they add up.

“Decision fatigue” is a real thing: Dr. Lisa McLean, a Psychiatrist at Henry Ford Health states that “after making many decisions, your ability to make more decisions over the course of a day becomes worse” (AMA, 2025). Because we are smothered from dusk till dawn under the umbrella of making constant choices, our brains can easily become overstimulated.

In a study on the impact of decision making published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, researchers found that “the more choices a person made the more likely they were to give up, lose willpower and struggle with endurance,” Dr. MacLean explained. “So, imagine the impact of decision fatigue on your ability to support your teams and be present for your families and friends at the end of a long workday.”

This is where the importance of predictability enters the chat.

Sure, we could all probably tighten up how we prioritize things, too – whether that means making an old-fashioned list or utilizing any number of technological tools to ease the burden. It’s easy to see how overwhelming daily life can become without some semblance of order. However, even with better organization, the real relief comes from creating consistent patterns the brain can count on.

So, what if we just focused on what we know we can control?

While not everything in life can fall into a predictable pattern, many smaller, everyday tasks can. Choosing meals ahead of time, keeping consistent routines, simplifying household responsibilities… these may seem like small movements, but they spare your brain from burning energy on things that don’t deserve your last reserves.

Leaning into predictability, when it makes sense, allows you to reduce the energy you spend on less important choices. As you can imagine, experiencing decision fatigue daily is not doing your nervous system and the rest of your body any favors. Being able to mitigate our stress by lessening what we can often gives us the boost we need to get through the day.

Let’s dig a little deeper into the science of predictability, how it lowers anxiety, and why it helps everyone, regardless of their situation or background.

What is the Brain Doing?

Before we can understand why predictability feels calming, we must look at what the brain is doing in that split second between the familiar and the unfamiliar.

The brain’s primary job is survival, so it constantly scans for patterns. Each of our past experiences leaves a footprint in our neural pathways, shaping how our brain interprets future situations. Even when we’re not conscious of it, these pathways influence whether we feel safe, unsure, or on high alert (fight, flight, or freeze).

Take a simple example: a child nearly drowns, survives, and grows up with no clear memory of the event. Years later, that same person steps into a pool and feels a rush of panic. Nothing “bad” is happening in the moment, but the brain recognizes a pattern it once associated with danger and reacts accordingly.

This doesn’t mean we’re stuck with negative automatic responses forever: the concept of “pruning” refers to utilizing new positive experiences and therapeutic approaches to correct or rewire the brain’s automatic response system (read more here).

But it is still important to remember that the brain will default to protection first. When something feels unfamiliar or unpredictable to us, the amygdala fires up (the brain’s “threat detector”), signaling the body to prepare for possible threat. When something feels familiar, the brain relaxes and shifts into a different physiological state (Khiron Clinics, 2025).

And this is exactly why predictability has such a powerful calming effect: a predictable environment gives the brain fewer reasons to activate its alarm systems and keep you in a permanent fight or flight mode.

When the brain is no longer focused on detecting threat, it becomes available for something else entirely: learning.

The Science Behind Predictability in Learning

It’s no secret that people who are interested in learning a subject are more likely to engage with it. That does not mean they will all learn the same information or learn it in the same way. We know there are multiple learning styles, and most individuals rely on a unique combination that works best for them.

However, interest and learning style alone do not determine whether learning will occur.

Students who are navigating stressors outside the classroom, whether related to home life, health, or ongoing daily challenges, often carry those experiences directly into their learning environments. In these cases, learning is not just an intellectual process; it is a neurological one (Miller, 2025).

Before the brain can absorb information, it must first determine whether it feels safe enough to do so.

When an environment feels chaotic or inconsistent, the brain prioritizes self-protection over learning. In these moments, cognitive resources are diverted away from memory, attention, and problem-solving and instead toward vigilance. This is one reason students who experience traumatic or unstable home environments often struggle in school settings.

When these students enter classrooms or extracurricular spaces, their nervous systems may already be operating in a state of hypervigilance. This can manifest as behavioral challenges, difficulty concentrating, or trouble forming connections with teachers and peers (Miller, 2025). Internally, the student is often expending enormous effort toggling between scanning for safety and attempting to engage: an exhausting cycle that keeps the brain locked in fight-or-flight mode.

This is where predictability becomes critical.

Research in cognitive neuroscience consistently shows that predictability supports executive functioning by reducing cognitive load. When learners know what to expect, the brain does not have to expend energy anticipating the unknown. That energy can instead be redirected toward engagement, comprehension, and retention (IES, 2025).

In predictable environments:

  • Attention improves because fewer resources are spent scanning for threat
  • Working memory becomes more efficient
  • Emotional regulation stabilizes
  • Learning endurance increases

In contrast, unpredictable environments force the brain into a constant state of adjustment. Even subtle inconsistencies like changes in routine, unclear expectations, or shifting rules can quietly increase anxiety and fatigue, even when no obvious stressor is present.

This is not a matter of preference or misbehavior: it is biology.

Why Predictability Matters Even More for Neurodiverse Learners

For neurodiverse individuals, predictability is not a luxury: it is a support system.

Neurodiverse individuals process sensory input, transitions, and expectations differently.

Uncertainty can amplify stress responses more quickly and more intensely, not because of fragility, but because the brain is often working harder to interpret the environment (Adv Neurodev Disord, 2022).

Predictable routines provide:

  • Clear entry points into tasks
  • Reduced sensory and cognitive overwhelm
  • A framework the brain can organize around (Adv Neurodev Disord, 2022)

When structure is consistent, neurodiverse learners often show increased confidence, improved task initiation, and greater willingness to engage. The predictability itself becomes a form of regulation. However, it’s important to note that predictability does not mean rigidity.

A predictable structure can still allow for flexibility, creativity, growth, and ultimately, an increase in confidence. In fact, flexibility works best within a predictable framework. When learners trust the structure, they are more willing to tolerate challenges and change because the environment itself feels safe.

Why This Matters Beyond the Classroom

The benefits of predictability don’t stop at learning environments, though.

Adults experience the same neurological processes. When daily life is overloaded with choices, unpredictability, and constant adaptation to changing circumstances, anxiety rises and bandwidth shrinks. This is why routines, habits, and structured movement can feel grounding even when life itself remains unpredictable.

Predictability doesn’t remove life’s challenges.
It simply gives the brain fewer fires to put out at once.

When we reduce unnecessary decision-making, create reliable routines, and build environments our brains can trust, we create space—for learning, connection, creativity, and rest.

Predictability, at its core, is not about control; it is about giving the brain enough stability to function, learn, breathe, and even recover. Sometimes the most meaningful support we can offer ourselves and others is not more choices, but fewer unknowns.

References

American Medical Association (2025). What Doctors Wish Patients Knew About Decision Fatigue. Retrieved from: https://www.ama-assn.org/public-health/behavioral-health/what-doctors-wish-patients-knew-about-decision-fatigue

Chen CY, Rossignac-Milon M, Higgins ET. Feeling distressed from making decisions: Assessors’ need to be right. J Pers Soc Psychol. 2018 Oct;115(4):743-761. doi: 10.1037/pspp0000181. Epub 2018 Feb 12. PMID: 29431459.

Hatherly K, Stienwandt S, Salisbury MR, Roos LE, Fisher PA. Routines as a Protective Factor for Emerging Mental Health and Behavioral Problems in Children with Neurodevelopmental Delays. Adv Neurodev Disord. 2023 Mar;7(1):35-45. doi: 10.1007/s41252-022-00260-y. Epub 2022 Jun 6. PMID: 39398327; PMCID: PMC11469585.

Institute of Education Sciences (2022). Executive Function: Implications for Education. Retrieved from: https://ies.ed.gov/ncer/2025/01/executive-function-implications-education?utm

Khiron Clinics. (2025). What Is Neuroplasticity, and How Can It Help In Recovery? Retrieved from https://khironclinics.com/blog/what-is-neuroplasticity-and-how-can-it-help-in-recovery/

Miller, C. (2025). How Trauma Affects Kids In School. Retrieved from https://childmind.org/article/how-trauma-affects-kids-school/

 

Share this article

Build skills. Achieve belts. Boost confidence.

Join thousands of students building martial arts mastery though the support of expert instructors, simple videos and guided practice in the comfort of your home.

Testimonial – Joshua’s Story

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Fill out this field
Fill out this field
Please enter a valid email address.
You need to agree with the terms to proceed

Build skills. Achieve belts. Boost confidence.

Join thousands of students building martial arts mastery though the support of expert instructors, simple videos and guided practice in the comfort of your home.

Testimonial – Joshua’s Story

Follow Us Today

Relevant Insights